{"id":13985,"date":"2025-07-07T14:50:28","date_gmt":"2025-07-07T18:50:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/?page_id=13985"},"modified":"2025-07-11T13:29:53","modified_gmt":"2025-07-11T17:29:53","slug":"research-probabilistic-forecasting","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/research-probabilistic-forecasting\/","title":{"rendered":"Research &#8211; Probabilistic Forecasting\u200b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"13985\" class=\"elementor elementor-13985\" data-elementor-post-type=\"page\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-6e90e35f elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"6e90e35f\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5ce6c9d3\" data-id=\"5ce6c9d3\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6cd503a7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"6cd503a7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Our Scientific Publications<\/h2>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-e622242 elementor-section-full_width elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"e622242\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-ad7d33a\" data-id=\"ad7d33a\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-766745e elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"766745e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-42ff0a8 e-grid e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"42ff0a8\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-settings=\"{&quot;container_type&quot;:&quot;grid&quot;,&quot;grid_columns_grid&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:6,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_rows_grid&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:1,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;content_width&quot;:&quot;boxed&quot;,&quot;grid_outline&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;grid_columns_grid_widescreen&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_columns_grid_laptop&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_columns_grid_tablet_extra&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_columns_grid_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_columns_grid_mobile_extra&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_columns_grid_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:1,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_rows_grid_widescreen&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_rows_grid_laptop&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_rows_grid_tablet_extra&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_rows_grid_tablet&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_rows_grid_mobile_extra&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_rows_grid_mobile&quot;:{&quot;unit&quot;:&quot;fr&quot;,&quot;size&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;sizes&quot;:[]},&quot;grid_auto_flow&quot;:&quot;row&quot;,&quot;grid_auto_flow_widescreen&quot;:&quot;row&quot;,&quot;grid_auto_flow_laptop&quot;:&quot;row&quot;,&quot;grid_auto_flow_tablet_extra&quot;:&quot;row&quot;,&quot;grid_auto_flow_tablet&quot;:&quot;row&quot;,&quot;grid_auto_flow_mobile_extra&quot;:&quot;row&quot;,&quot;grid_auto_flow_mobile&quot;:&quot;row&quot;}\" data-core-v316-plus=\"true\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a4c124c elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"a4c124c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/research-regime-intelligence\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Regime Intelligence\u200b<\/span>\n\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e9401fe elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"e9401fe\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/research\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Probabilistic Forecasting\u200b<\/span>\n\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1708bff elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"1708bff\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/research-neural-network\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Neural Networks\u200b<\/span>\n\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2c565cf elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"2c565cf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/research-causal-relationships\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Causal Relationships\u200b<\/span>\n\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-c19b1eb elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"c19b1eb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/research-model-interpretation\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Model Interpretation\u200b<\/span>\n\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-245bd1e elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"245bd1e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm\" href=\"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/research-tail-risk-modeling\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Tail Risk Modeling\u200b<\/span>\n\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-677f006 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"677f006\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-3a46b09 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"3a46b09\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-35e677a\" data-id=\"35e677a\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-9b53452 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"9b53452\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a269dbd elementor-align-right elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"a269dbd\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-size-lg\" role=\"button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING<\/span>\n\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b60f445 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"b60f445\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">A Forecasting Model with Robust and \nReduced Redundancy Latent Series\n<\/h2>\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-371603e elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"371603e\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6cef8bb elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"6cef8bb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Abdallah Aaraba , Shengrui Wang , and Jean-Marc Patenaude<\/p><p>Presented at the Asia-Pacific Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (PAKDD-2024)<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-c45a0eb elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c45a0eb\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-deda88b\" data-id=\"deda88b\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d5d99b4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"d5d99b4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"200\" height=\"96\" src=\"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/logo-1-200x96-1.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-13956\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/logo-1-200x96-1.png 200w, https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/logo-1-200x96-1-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-f25b4db\" data-id=\"f25b4db\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-539d32a elementor-widget__width-initial elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"539d32a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>This paper introduces a deep learning model that improves time series forecasting by learning compact, noise-resistant representations with minimal redundancy. Its key innovation\u2014a non-contrastive self-supervised learning method that improves accuracy and stability\u2014makes it especially useful in finance for predicting complex, interrelated trends like stock prices or economic indicators.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e1b121a elementor-align-center elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"e1b121a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-xl\" href=\"http:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/mp-files\/fr3ls-a-forecasting-model-with-robust-and-reduced-redundancy-latent-series.pdf\/\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-icon elementor-align-icon-left\">\n\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"far fa-file-pdf\"><\/i>\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">Dowload PDF<\/span>\n\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-81d0ea1 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"81d0ea1\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-0236180\" data-id=\"0236180\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our Scientific Publications Regime Intelligence\u200b Probabilistic Forecasting\u200b Neural Networks\u200b Causal Relationships\u200b Model Interpretation\u200b Tail Risk Modeling\u200b PROBABILISTIC FORECASTING A Forecasting Model with Robust and Reduced Redundancy Latent Series Abdallah Aaraba , Shengrui Wang , and Jean-Marc Patenaude Presented at the Asia-Pacific Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (PAKDD-2024) This paper introduces a deep learning &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/research-probabilistic-forecasting\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Research &#8211; Probabilistic Forecasting\u200b<\/span> Lire la suite\u00a0\u00bb<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_header_footer","meta":{"footnotes":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13985"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13985"}],"version-history":[{"count":26,"href":"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13985\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14310,"href":"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/13985\/revisions\/14310"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.laplaceinsights.com\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13985"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}